HomeWHENWhen Is Hurricane Lee Supposed To Hit Ct

When Is Hurricane Lee Supposed To Hit Ct

As of Monday evening, Hurricane Lee maintained its “major” Category 3 status, with sustained winds of 115 mph. and its hurricane-force winds widened considerably, now up to 75 miles from the center.

The cone of uncertainty from the National Hurricane Center encompasses parts of Massachusetts including the SouthCoast, South Shore, Cape Cod and the islands.

“What this is showing is that there is that possibility that this could be moving its way toward our area,” said StormTeam 5 meteorologist Kelly Ann Cicalese.

If the storm tracks to the western side of the forecast cone, it would deliver more significant impacts with wind and rain. A track toward the eastern side of the cone could bring gusty winds, rough surf and big waves to the Massachusetts coastline.

Where is Hurricane Lee on Tuesday?National Hurricane Center tracks impact in MA as storm comes north

The ensemble of models showing possible paths for Hurricane Lee produced Monday by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration indicate the storm will likely make landfall in eastern Canada.

Cicalese and StormTeam 5 are watching Saturday and Sunday for the possibility of those impacts.

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Highlights from 5 p.m. advisory

  • Hurricane Lee is a large, Category 3 hurricane, with 115-mph winds
  • Hazardous surf and rip currents are expected at beaches across most of the U.S. east coast this week.

A major factor affecting Lee’s future strength is the combination of how slow it’s moving and cooler waters. The hurricane’s large wind field and slow path is churning up cooler Atlantic waters already affected by Hurricanes Franklin and Idalia.

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Dangerous surf and rip currents are expected along most of the U.S. East Coast this week as Lee grows in size, according to the Hurricane Center.

As Lee tracks northward in the coming days, impacts are expected in eastern New England and Canada, AccuWeather forecaster said.

Hurricane Lee was a category three major storm 120 mph sustained winds as of Monday, Sept. 11, 2023, according to the National Hurricane Center in Miami.

Hurricane Lee on the move:Cape Cod harbormasters advise mariners to prepare, in case

Lee holds the title of the strongest hurricane to churn in the Atlantic during the 2023 season. Winds hit 165 mph Friday morning. Just 24 hours earlier, Lee was a Category 1 hurricane with 80 mph winds before it underwent rapid intensification.

Rapid intensification occurs when a tropical system’s sustained winds increase by 35 mph or more in 24 hours. Lee more than doubled down that criteria, which is extremely rare, according to AccuWeather.

Here’s the latest update from the NHC as of  5 p.m.: 

Forecast path: Where is Hurricane Lee going?

The major hurricane will take a curved path around a large area of high pressure sitting over the central Atlantic, which guided the powerful storm north of the northern islands of the Caribbean Sunday.

  • Hurricane Lee is forecast to make a gradual turn to the north by Wednesday and pass between the U.S. mid-Atlantic and Bermuda on Friday.
  • Lee could bring strong winds, rainfall, and high surf impacts to Bermuda later this week.
  • In Maine and along the coast of New England −where some of the forecast models say a landfall might be possible next weekend − the National Weather Service said Monday that the “track, intensity and impacts (if any) from Lee remain uncertain.”
  • As of 5 p.m, much of southeastern New England was in the “cone of uncertainty” in the hurricane center’s forecast map for Lee. This includes a portion of the Boston metro area, along with Cape Cod and the islands of Martha’s Vineyard and Nantucket.
  • “Dangerous surf and life-threatening rip currents” continue to hit the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico and the Bahamas and will affect most of the U.S. East Coast this week as Lee grows and moves northward.
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Expect Lee to move northeast of the Bahamas, west of Bermuda and east of the southeastern United States into the first half of this week, said AccuWeather forecasters.

  • A Saildrone located to the west of Lee’s center in the last few hours reported a sustained wind of 70 mph and wind gust of 88 mph, the hurricane center said Monday at 5 p.m.
  • A buoy between Lee and San Salvador Island in the Bahamas reported significant wave heights of 11.8 feet.
  • Lee is forecast to strengthen to 120 mph winds over the next 24 hours, then begin weakening as it’s buffeted by wind shear later in the week and encounters areas of colder water left by hurricanes Idalia and Franklin.

How could Hurricane Lee impact Massachusetts or any part of New England?

“The area in the United States that really needs to pay attention is along the eastern coast of New England,” AccuWeather Chief On-Air Meteorologist Bernie Rayno said Monday morning.

AccuWeather forecasters predict Lee will either make landfall somewhere from far eastern New England to Atlantic Canada, and are closely monitoring the behavior of the jet stream to determine the extent of the direct impacts in the northeastern U.S.

There is a chance of a landfall on the east coast during the middle and latter part of next week if the jet stream hangs back, when combined with Lee’s slow movement initially, which will bring the storm closer to land by steering winds. In that scenario, there is the risk of a landfall in eastern New England with widespread risks to lives and property, according to AccuWeather forecasters.

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AccuWeather meteorologists warn that the East Coast will experience high seas and dangerous surf this week as the threat of impacts to eastern New England increases.

“Starting as early as Sunday, seas and surf will build to dangerous levels along the central and northern coast of Florida and expand northward through the mid-Atlantic and New England coasts this week,” AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Joe Lundberg said. Frequent and strong rip currents, pounding waves, beach erosion and even coastal flooding at times of high tide can be expected from the building surf.

Heavy rain and strong winds are also expected to reach parts of New England over the coming weeks, even if the center of Lee remains offshore.

How to escape rip current:Graphics show how rip currents endanger swimmers

“What tends to happen as hurricanes move into northern latitudes during September and October is that the rain and wind fields tend to expand as the storm’s top winds decrease,” AccuWeather Director of Forecast Operations Dan DePodwin said.

According to the NHC, the most likely arrival time of tropical-storm-force winds to Massachusetts is Friday at 8 a.m.

Lee’s proximity to the coast will determine just how severe storm surges, high winds and torrential rain conditions become.

Hurricane Lee: Forecast path and how strong is it?

The peak of the season is Sept. 10, with the most activity happening between mid-August and mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center.

Tropical forecast over the next seven days

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What’s out there?

Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center.

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