The National Hurricane Center is tracking two hurricanes and a system expected to become the season’s next tropical depression, according to the latest advisory.
Hurricane Lee lost a little strength overnight, with maximum sustained winds dropping to 115 mph. It’s still a Category 3 storm.
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Farther east in the Atlantic, Margot has strengthened into a hurricane.
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Highlights from 5 a.m. advisory
- Hurricane Lee remains a large and powerful hurricane.
- Dangerous surf and life-threatening rip currents will affect most of the U.S. east coast through much of the week.
- It’s still too soon to predict the impact Lee will have on the northeastern U.S. coast or Atlantic Canada, but as Lee grows in size, keep in mind wind and rainfall hazards extend well away from the center.
Lee holds the title of the strongest hurricane to churn in the Atlantic during the 2023 season. Winds hit 165 mph Friday morning. Just 24 hours earlier, Lee was a Category 1 hurricane with 80 mph winds before it underwent rapid intensification.
Rapid intensification occurs when a tropical system’s sustained winds increase by 35 mph or more in 24 hours. Lee more than doubled down that criteria, which is extremely rare, according to AccuWeather.
Here’s the latest update from the NHC as of 5 a.m.:
Forecast path: Where is Hurricane Lee going?
AccuWeather meteorologists expect a high risk to lives and property from damaging winds and flooding in Nova Scotia this weekend as New England faces some direct impacts from Hurricane Lee.
“Landfall is most likely in Nova Scotia, Canada, this weekend, but any waver in the track caused by non-tropical weather systems such as the high pressure to the east and the approaching jet stream could pull the hurricane westward toward New England or push it farther east toward Newfoundland and Labrador,” said AccuWeather Chief On-Air Meteorologist Bernie Rayno.
Hurricane Lee projected path:Lee expected to bring big surf, dangerous currents to US East Coast
How could Hurricane Lee impact Massachusetts?
The severity of conditions from eastern New England to Nova Scotia and the island of Newfoundland in terms of wind, rain, and coastal problems will depend on the exact track and strength of Lee late this week and this weekend.
As Lee moves over cooler waters it will lose some wind intensity, Rayno said. However, as this happens, the storm’s rain and winds will tend to spread out.
The most likely arrival time for tropical-storm-force winds in Massachusetts is Saturday at 8 a.m., according to the National Hurricane Center.
Graphics released by the National Hurricane Center put the probabilities for tropical storm wind speeds, which are maximum sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph, reaching coastal Massachusetts at 5 to 20 percent, with the tip of the Cape slightly higher at 20 to 30 percent. The probability of 50-knot (58 mph) winds for the tip of the cape is only 5 to 10 percent. As of Tuesday morning, there was very little probability of hurricane-force winds, maximum sustained winds of 74 mph, directly hitting Massachusetts.
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According to reporting by Dinah Voyles Pulver for USA Today, despite forecasters predicting that significant winds are likely to stay offshore for most of the U.S. coast, rip currents and dangerous surf are expected, according to the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service offices along the coast.
“It’s going to produce a tremendous amount of energy in the ocean in the form of traditional ocean waves,” Jamie Rhome, the hurricane center’s deputy director, told USA TODAY. “When that energy strikes the coast, it produces this huge rip current risk.”
‘Have it hauled yesterday’:SouthCoast harbormasters watching track of Hurricane Lee
Bigger waves and rip currents already have begun to reach East Coast beaches, with high rip current risk warnings in effect from the National Weather Service station in Boston for Wednesday morning to Wednesday evening in Southern Bristol, Southern Plymouth, Barnstable, Dukes, Nantucket, and Newport, RI.
Dangerous rip current warnings will likely need to be extended into Thursday, Friday, and beyond, the National Weather Service station in Boston wrote.
How to escape rip current:Graphics show how rip currents endanger swimmers
Hurricane Lee: Forecast path and how strong is it?
The peak of the season is Sept. 10, with the most activity happening between mid-August and mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center.
Tropical forecast over the next seven days
Excessive rainfall forecast
What’s out there?
Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center.
What’s next?
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Source: https://t-tees.com
Category: WHEN
