The Seattle Seahawks are in playoff position again, something that didn’t seem particularly likely just a few weeks ago. If they win out, they’re automatically in the postseason as either the No. 6 or No. 7 seed. Losing out just about automatically eliminates them from the playoffs barring some wacky ties and other unlikely events occurring. A 1-1 split? Well they still have a chance but would need help. The New York Times playoff machine gives the Seahawks about a 2-in-3 chance of making the playoffs.
What’s the rooting guide for Week 17? Let’s take a look at the current playoff picture first.
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Division Leaders
1. San Francisco 49ers (11-4) – Clinched NFC West
2. Philadelphia Eagles (11-4) – Clinched playoff spot
3. Detroit Lions (11-4) – Clinched NFC North
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-7) – Cannot clinch a playoff spot as a wild card
Wild Card
5. Dallas Cowboys (10-5) – Clinched playoff spot
6. Los Angeles Rams (8-7) – Has head-to-head tiebreaker on the Seahawks
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7. Seattle Seahawks (8-7) – Cannot catch Rams in a head-to-head tiebreaker
In The Hunt
8. Minnesota Vikings (7-8) – Has an unassailable conference record tiebreaker on the Seahawks
9. Atlanta Falcons (7-8) – Cannot catch the Seahawks in a tiebreaker scenario
10. Green Bay Packers (7-8) – Would have at least one tiebreaker scenario on the Seahawks
11. New Orleans Saints (7-8) – Cannot catch the Seahawks in a tiebreaker scenario
12. Chicago Bears (6-9) – Can catch Seahawks in a conference tiebreaker scenario, but it doesn’t matter because Seattle can’t make the playoffs at 8-9
Rooting Guide!
New York Giants over Los Angeles Rams
Tyrod Taylor is back in the lineup over Tommy DeVito. The Giants are a bad team but they’ve been competitive over the past month and this is a 10 AM home kickoff. According to the New York Times playoff machine, the Seahawks’ playoff chances increase substantially with a Giants win, presumably because the Rams’ finale is at the San Francisco 49ers, who should still have the No. 1 seed to play for in Week 18. The Rams have also not beaten the 49ers in the regular season since 2018.
Minnesota Vikings tie the Green Bay Packers
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This automatically puts the Seahawks in the playoffs as long as Seattle beats the Pittsburgh Steelers, and even if the Seahawks lose it also means the Seahawks are a half-game up on the Vikes and Pack with one week to go.
An interesting wrinkle here is that the Vikings are guaranteed a conference record tiebreaker on the Seahawks, but not the Packers. Seattle’s NFC record is 6-5, while Green Bay is 5-5. If the Packers win out but the Seahawks lose to the Steelers and beat the Arizona Cardinals, their NFC record will be level at 7-5. The next tiebreaker is common games played, which would put Seattle at 3-3 (Ls to Steelers and Rams, Ws vs. Giants, Lions, and Panthers) and Green Bay at 3-3 (Ls to Steelers, Lions, and Giants, Ws vs. Rams, Lions, and Panthers). The next tiebreaker is strength of victory, which is heavily in Green Bay’s favor and is impossible for Seattle to overcome.
If Seattle beats the Steelers but loses to Arizona, the Packers have the NFC tiebreaker. Therefore, there is no mathematical way for the Seahawks to win any tiebreakers on Minnesota or Green Bay, so it does not matter too much who wins. In theory, I say pull for the Vikings because their finale is at the Lions, whereas Green Bay wraps up with the Bears at home.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers over the New Orleans Saints
A Bucs win clinches the NFC South and mathematically eliminates the Saints from playoff contention. Seattle already holds the strength of victory tiebreaker on New Orleans, which in itself means they cannot overtake the Seahawks in a tiebreaker. We’re pulling for the Bucs to make that third-round pick a bit better.
Whatever scenario guarantees the 49ers have something to play for in Week 18
The San Francisco 49ers losing to the Baltimore Ravens means that they cannot clinch the No. 1 seed exclusively with a win over the hapless (but now Jacoby Brissett-led) Washington Commanders. They need a win, a Detroit Lions loss to the Dallas Cowboys, and a Philadelphia Eagles loss to the Arizona Cardinals to clinch the top spot and be able to rest starters against the Rams. So go Commanders, go Lions, and go Eagles!
The Giants beating the Rams is actually the top priority because that’s more realistic than rooting for a tie. Tampa Bay winning is more for draft pick purposes than anything else, but this would at least knock off the Saints in a wild card situation. The 49ers having to play the full way against the Rams, a team they’ve repeatedly beaten, would be the best case scenario for the Seahawks. Worst case scenario is arguably a Seahawks loss, a Rams win, a Vikings win, an Eagles win, and a Lions loss. A Rams win + Seahawks loss means it doesn’t matter what the 49ers do in Week 18 because Seattle can’t overtake the Rams. A Lions loss + Eagles win would just about lock Detroit in as the No. 3 seed, giving them no incentive to play starters against Minnesota (for real this time, not like last year).
Obviously, a Seahawks win would put Seattle within touching distance of the playoffs. That’s the one thing Seattle can control, so don’t screw it up!
Source: https://t-tees.com
Category: WHO
