Steelers-Rams Betting Preview
Game Details
- Matchup: Pittsburgh Steelers at Los Angeles Rams
- Date: Sunday, Oct. 22 (Week 7)
- Time: 4:05 p.m. EST
- Location: SoFi Stadium (Inglewood, CA)
Odds Summary
You are viewing: Who Is Favored To Win Steelers Or Rams
- Moneyline: Steelers +150, Rams -180
- Spread: Steelers +3.5 (-110), Rams -3.5 (-110)
- Total: Over/Under 44 (-110/-110)
Odds from PointsBet. Subject to change.
Week 7 of the 2023 NFL schedule features a cross-conference meeting between a pair of teams trying to stay afloat in competitive divisions, as the Pittsburgh Steelers tangle with the Los Angeles Rams at SoFi Stadium.
Both teams are coming off victories. Before last week’s bye, the Steelers scored 17 unanswered points in a 17-10 comeback win at home over the Baltimore Ravens. After a victory that came partly because of three Ravens turnovers, Pittsburgh is now 3-2 and half a game behind Baltimore for the AFC North lead.
The Rams are 3-3 and scored 23 unanswered points in last week’s 26-9 home win over the Arizona Cardinals. Wide receiver Cooper Kupp had his second straight big game since returning from the injured reserve, catching seven passes for 148 yards and scoring the go-ahead touchdown in the third quarter.
On the futures board, Pittsburgh is in the middle of the pack at +7500 to win the Super Bowl, while Los Angeles is a bit better at +4000.
Moneyline
The Rams enter this game as solid home favorites and are the better bet on the moneyline.
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The Steelers have numerous issues on offense, including inconsistent play from Kenny Pickett, questionable play-calling and a weak offensive line. Pittsburgh has allowed the league’s fourth-worst pressure rate (40.4%), often forcing Pickett to throw under duress and get the ball out quickly before his receivers are open.
The Steelers’ run blocking hasn’t been any better, either. None of their regular starters on the offensive line have posted a Pro Football Focus run grade higher than 63.
Meanwhile, LA’s offense is clicking now that Kupp is back in the fold. Matthew Stafford has his favorite target back, which has opened up the passing game for the Rams and made their offense more explosive.
Los Angeles still has Aaron Donald, too, who is a one-man wrecking crew and will wreak havoc in this game. With all of its offensive problems, Pittsburgh won’t keep up in this game.
Point Spread
There are legions of point spread bettors who will cite the perils of wagering against Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin when his team is an underdog. Tomlin is a staggering 56-31-4 against the spread when getting points, easily making him the most profitable coach as an underdog so far this century.
So yes, bet against a Tomlin-coached underdog at your own risk. But bet on his quarterback at your own risk as well.
Pickett will have wide receivers George Pickens and Dionte Johnson on the field together this week for the first time since the season opener, when Johnson exited early with a hamstring injury.
However, what Pickett won’t have is a quality offensive line, a skilled offensive coordinator calling plays, or the comfort of being able to lean on a productive running game. Pittsburgh averages just 3.4 yards per rush attempt and is one of just two teams in the league without a rushing touchdown.
Pickett hasn’t been completely useless. He led an amazing comeback against the Ravens, and his 108.5 passer rating against the Las Vegas Raiders in a Week 3 road win was his career-best.
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Still, if Stafford’s propensity for throwing interceptions is a reason for unease, he’s a more reliable bet than Pickett. Back Los Angeles to defy the trends and cover the spread.
Over/Under
Bettors who have gone below the Over/Under in recent games involving these teams have cashed in. The Over has hit just once in the Steelers’ five games this season and only twice in the Rams’ six games.
That’s a strong case for the Under, which will likely hit again this week. Pittsburgh’s offense has spun its wheels for most of the season, and LA’s running attack is likely to take a hit with starter Kyren Williams and backup Ronnie Rivers out due to injury. That will cause Stafford to throw more and likely get picked off once or twice.
Also, consider that the Steelers are the NFL’s worst team when it comes to touchdown percentage in the red zone at 29%.
If that’s not convincing enough, remember that two former Defensive Players of the Year (Donald and T.J. Watt) will be on the field in the same game.
Player Prop
On this game’s list of prop bets, one that stands out is Stafford going over his passing yards total of 260.5 (-115).
Stafford averaged 307 yards passing in the Rams’ first four games despite not having Kupp for any of them. With Kupp back in the offense and Los Angeles being short-handed on the ground this week, Stafford will need to throw more than usual.
Accordingly, bettors should consider investing in Stafford eclipsing this week’s number against a defense that already allowed lesser quarterbacks, C.J. Stroud and Jimmy Garoppolo, to cruise past this total.
Photo by Justin K. Aller/Getty Images
Source: https://t-tees.com
Category: WHO
