The over- (and under-) performers

How well likely Republican primary voters who watched the debate expected each candidate to perform before the debate versus how well they thought each candidate actually performed

We asked respondents how they expected each candidate to do, and how well they actually did, on a five-point scale from “excellent” to “terrible” and converted each answer to a number on a 1-to-5 scale. “Excellent” was equal to 5, “very good” was equal to 4, “about average” was equal to 3, “poor” was equal to 2 and “terrible” was equal to 1. Scores were then averaged to create overall scores for each candidate. Respondents who answered “don’t know” to the expectations or performance questions were excluded.

According to likely Republican primary voters who watched at least some of the debate, Haley and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis were by far the strongest performers, with average performance scores of 3.6 and 3.5 out of 5, respectively. (We asked debate watchers to grade each candidate’s performance on a five-point scale from “excellent” to “terrible” and then calculated an average score for each candidate.2Average scores were calculated by assigning a 1-to-5 score to each answer to the expectations and performance questions, where “excellent” was equal to 5, “very good” was equal to 4, “about average” was equal to 3, “poor” was equal to 2 and “terrible” was equal to 1. Scores were then averaged to create overall scores for each candidate. Respondents who answered “don’t know” to the expectations or performance questions were excluded.) That probably didn’t come as a surprise to many viewers, though, because voters also had the highest expectations for Haley and DeSantis going into the debate, based on a question we asked previously using the same scale.

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On the other end of the spectrum, South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott, Ramaswamy and former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie all turned in roughly average performances, according to debate viewers. However, Ramaswamy had above-average expectations going into the debate, so his mediocre performance may be perceived more negatively than, say, Christie’s. In fact, Christie’s average performance score (2.8 out of 5) was higher than his average expectations score (2.6 out of 5), so he actually did better than most viewers thought he would.

Source: https://t-tees.com
Category: WHO